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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunter0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$271K$19.0M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhunter0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1CORGII
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone
Luca Van Assche $852—Mariano Navone $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $2.7K—Ignacio Buse $42K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $247—Mary Stoiana $21K—