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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunterbeachboy4pleaseplease123RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)68% (43–20, n=63)49% (345–353, n=698)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)
Consensus PnL$271K$5.8M$3.2M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #92PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)30% (won 57% of 63)38% (won 43% of 266)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)54% (won 51% of 115)61% (won 54% of 426)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhunterbeachboy4pleaseplease123RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone
Luca Van Assche $738——Mariano Navone $3
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $2.7K——Ignacio Buse $42K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $247——Mary Stoiana $21K