← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| FairValueMachine | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (2757–676, n=3433) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #305 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1617 at avg 64¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 47) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 100% of 236) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 100% of 694) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 640) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FairValueMachine | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K |