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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FakeMadridferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market32% (12–26, n=38)75% (9–3, n=12)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL—-$22K$84K-$53K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #87PM monthly #40PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position52% (49 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +7 pts n=264, ROI +3%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=879, ROI +2%
Weakest topicMLB −5 pts, n=43———
Settled positions, side won60% of 1496 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 16% of 132)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 47% of 428)26% (won 100% of 1446)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 62% of 526)40% (won 100% of 2198)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 85% of 410)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFakeMadridferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.6K—Cavaliers $726
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360