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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHVABjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)80% (626–160, n=786)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1116–1129, n=2245)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$437K$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #679PM monthly #2PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus75% (106 of 142 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +7 pts n=638, ROI +8%
  • MMA +14 pts n=20, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=39, ROI 0%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 703 at avg 78¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 13% of 31)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)8% (won 57% of 56)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)18% (won 72% of 128)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)69% (won 95% of 488)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHVABjoseph00677primm
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Sorana Cirstea $15KAlexandra Shubladze $1.5K——
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
same side · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
Alisa Oktiabreva $1.9KAlisa Oktiabreva $5.2K——