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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)51% (4635–4375, n=9010)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$13.4M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus65% (55 of 85 open)83% (5 of 6 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)10% (won 57% of 2537)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)22% (won 94% of 5518)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)32% (won 100% of 7821)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1surfandturf
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6KNo $7.7K—
Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm
opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain
Lucas Poullain $476Yannik Kelm $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $19KRinky Hijikata $36K—
Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker
same side · consensus Michal Krajci
Michal Krajci $57Michal Krajci $270—