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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1surfandturf0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)52% (273–252, n=525)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$13.4M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus71% (66 of 93 open)83% (5 of 6 open)50% (1 of 2 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −11 pts, n=58Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)10% (won 57% of 2537)20% (won 12% of 109)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)22% (won 94% of 5518)21% (won 46% of 114)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 60% of 176)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)32% (won 100% of 7821)26% (won 82% of 137)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1surfandturf0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6KNo $7.7K——
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.7KYes $6.4K
Will FC Penafiel win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $246——Yes $3.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $787Mariano Navone $631——
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo $320——Arthur Rinderknech $561
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5KNo $11K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $2.5KRafael Jodar $1.1K——
Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $1.4K——
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $310Under $194——