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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | gmpm2 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (93–93, n=186) | 25% (1–3, n=4) | 47% (158–181, n=339) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $41K | $261K | -$54K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (28 of 45 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 52% (won 100% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 7% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Christian Langmo vs Ymerali Ibraimi opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo | Ymerali Ibraimi $116 | — | Christian Langmo $1.7K | — |
| Brisbane 3: August Holmgren vs Philip Sekulic opposite sides · consensus Philip Sekulic | August Holmgren $303 | — | Philip Sekulic $128 | — |
| Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Portland Pilots | Portland Pilots $3.3K | — | Portland Pilots $39 | — |
| Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Daniel Michalski same side · consensus Rio Noguchi | Rio Noguchi $379 | — | Rio Noguchi $2.7K | — |
| Matsuyama: Ryuki Matsuda vs Max Schoenhaus same side · consensus Max Schoenhaus | Max Schoenhaus $189 | — | Max Schoenhaus $1.2K | — |
| W75 Brisbane: Sohyun Park vs Naiktha Bains same side · consensus Sohyun Park | Naiktha Bains $260 | — | Naiktha Bains $189 | — |