Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpimjustkenisgheyjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)49% (519–538, n=1057)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$140K$3.2M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #401PM monthly #7PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus65% (108 of 166 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12NHL −14 pts, n=61——
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%43% of 763 at avg 43¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 25% of 75)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)68% (won 41% of 519)6% (won 0% of 1)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)20% (won 52% of 149)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)3% (won 95% of 20)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpimjustkenisgheyjoseph00677primm
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $77Vikings $580——
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $858Pelicans $792——