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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (271–305, n=576)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M-$154K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #28
Sides with the consensus75% (100 of 133 open)no open consensus position55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Heat vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $1.8K—Heat $84K
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $152—Heat $4.5K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Over $1.3K
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7K—Heat $253