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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 74% (431–152, n=583) | no settled market | 25% (14–42, n=56) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $56K | — | -$478K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 69% (123 of 177 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (8 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 183 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 48% (won 100% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 42% (won 100% of 77) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 8% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | Jazz $203 | — | Jazz $2.1K |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | Heat $551 | — | Heat $38K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Magic $49 | — | Magic $33K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Miami (OH) $35 | — | Miami (OH) $17K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $220 | — | Under $2.5K |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo same side · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $37 | Dali Blanch $2.3K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $33 | — | Under $2.1K |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | Under $521 | — | — |