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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)50% (95–96, n=191)no settled market47% (160–182, n=342)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$44K—-$49K-$75K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #242
Sides with the consensus60% (27 of 45 open)no open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40——Esports −1 pts, n=230
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%42% of 238 at avg 43¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)43% (won 4% of 102)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 100% of 62)18% (won 33% of 43)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 95)14% (won 71% of 34)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 80)25% (won 98% of 59)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1vtcchampion52
Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt
same side · consensus Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan Schoolkate $1.4K—Tristan Schoolkate $5.5K—
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Portland Pilots
Portland Pilots $4.5K—Portland Pilots $34—
Matsuyama: Ryuki Matsuda vs Max Schoenhaus
same side · consensus Max Schoenhaus
Max Schoenhaus $1.2K—Max Schoenhaus $2.9K—
Matsuyama: Takuya Kumasaka vs Yi Zhou
same side · consensus Yi Zhou
Takuya Kumasaka $199—Takuya Kumasaka $662—
W75 Brisbane: Sohyun Park vs Naiktha Bains
same side · consensus Sohyun Park
Naiktha Bains $409—Naiktha Bains $278—
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $96—Over $369—