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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Worksubetteruuuu
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)48% (193–206, n=399)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$3.7M$122K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #74PM monthly #288
Sides with the consensus73% (141 of 193 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)53% (10 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • NFL +35 pts n=47, ROI +26%
  • Esports +9 pts n=115, ROI +8%
  • NBA +9 pts n=98, ROI +9%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46Soccer −8 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%57% of 332 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)12% (won 13% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)41% (won 56% of 135)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)40% (won 65% of 134)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)7% (won 88% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677S-Worksubetteruuuu
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18KYes $726
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $109K——No $4.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63——Colts $2.3K