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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (421–148, n=569)no settled market44% (106–136, n=242)68% (300–138, n=438)
Consensus PnL$46K—$279K-$51K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #7PM monthly #29PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (23 of 37 open)no open consensus position25% (2 of 8 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko $345—Adrian Mannarino $3.5K—
Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt
same side · consensus Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan Schoolkate $2.6K——Tristan Schoolkate $7.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Lorenzo Sonego $205—Lorenzo Sonego $437—