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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)95% (13842–695, n=14537)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$4.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #965
Sides with the consensus66% (188 of 283 open)no open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1WagerWizard
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $34K—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.0K——Over $60
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2——Yes $206
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $79——Yes $3
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57——Yes $5
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $56K——No $165
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578—Under $6.4K—
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $16——Over $134