Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1whosay
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1096–631, n=1727)59% (1248–851, n=2099)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$4.6M-$32K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #8PM monthly #108PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensus76% (91 of 119 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1whosay
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $216——Yes $4.5K
Exact Score: Riga FC 0 - 0 FC RFS?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $239——Yes $472
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $246——Yes $350
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $138——Yes $138
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6——Yes $17
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $132——No $1.7K
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2——Yes $809