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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmUnit70
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)33% (18–37, n=55)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$3.6M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #52PM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus66% (105 of 159 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%52% of 23 at avg 32¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)48% (won 18% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)35% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)17% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmUnit70
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $67—Chiefs $21K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $168—Lions $14K—