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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Record (consensus markets)74% (426–151, n=577)no settled market68% (304–140, n=444)71% (5–2, n=7)
Consensus PnL$47K—-$55K-$7.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #158PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #745
Sides with the consensus74% (55 of 74 open)no open consensus position100% (6 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%—
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)—
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel
opposite sides · consensus Cosme de Ravel
Mattia Bellucci $595—Cosme de Ravel $3.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
same side · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko $8.7K—Alexander Shevchenko $23K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $4.2K—Alex Michelsen $8.5K—
Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Carboni $2.2K—Lorenzo Carboni $5.0K—
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685—