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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) | 63% (115–69, n=184) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.7M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #74 | PM monthly #785 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (120 of 181 open) | 73% (111 of 153 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $7.4K | — | — |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $341 | — | — | Panthers $1.0K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $28 | No $115 | — | — |