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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmWinning2...
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)32% (878–1900, n=2778)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$3.5M-$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #149PM monthly #52PM monthly #644
Sides with the consensus62% (229 of 367 open)74% (34 of 46 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=105, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=162, ROI 0%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)52% (won 19% of 1708)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)39% (won 39% of 1283)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)9% (won 61% of 282)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmWinning2...
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K——Over $498
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9.7K——Over $488
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.1K——Over $347
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $590