Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1quietparcel
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)63% (990–573, n=1563)41% (6775–9746, n=16521)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M-$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #102PM monthly #259
Sides with the consensus71% (193 of 271 open)72% (95 of 132 open)65% (759 of 1164 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1quietparcel
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $64KNo $9
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9KNo $39
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $345No $32
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $166No $148
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7No $24
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3No $9
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $335KNo $130
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—No $26KNo $21
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
—No $17No $33
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
same side · consensus No
—No $40No $6
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $12No $11