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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | quietparcel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 44% (6321–8135, n=14456) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M | $45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #252 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 67% (284 of 427 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 83% (187 of 224 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 39% of 118) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 60% of 198) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | quietparcel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $87K | — | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $6.2K | Celtics $215 | — | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $27 | No $42 |