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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1quietparcelRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)63% (993–578, n=1571)41% (6786–9612, n=16398)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.8M-$120K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #95PM monthly #242PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (159 of 214 open)71% (52 of 73 open)73% (32 of 44 open)60% (27 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144Mentions −4 pts, n=646—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)58% (won 1% of 3260)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)2% (won 39% of 118)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)4% (won 60% of 198)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)36% (won 96% of 2049)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1quietparcelRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $354——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Kilian Feldbausch $202——Sumit Nagal $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $291——Ipek Oz $680
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $370——Under $509
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $151——No $41
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $58——Yes $3
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $7.6K——Mai Hontama $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $9.8K
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $3.8K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K——Over $134
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $102
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Under $33
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $212——Zsombor Piros $1.1K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $536——No $349
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Carlo Alberto Caniato $12——Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $86——Under $9