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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1robustmst
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (134–149, n=283)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$265K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #143PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus67% (190 of 285 open)73% (33 of 45 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%86% of 146 at avg 51¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)3% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)45% (won 79% of 66)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)45% (won 92% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)7% (won 90% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1robustmst
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
Maria Sakkari $3.0K—Maya Joint $20K