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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4513–3386, n=7899) | 52% (6399–5911, n=12310) | 65% (896–472, n=1368) | 48% (137–151, n=288) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $4.5M | $276K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #45 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 78% (120 of 153 open) | 76% (31 of 41 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 86% of 155 at avg 50¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 4% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 47% (won 79% of 73) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 43% (won 92% of 66) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 6% (won 90% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $785 | Lakers $140 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $12K | Spurs $3.5K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | Quentin Halys $811 | — | — |
| Flames vs. Kraken same side · consensus Flames | Flames $3.8K | Flames $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $441 | Spurs $1.7K | — | — |
| Sharks vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Sharks $23 | Sharks $62 | — | — |