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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1robustmst
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)47% (135–150, n=285)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M$321K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #149PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #44
Sides with the consensus60% (205 of 339 open)74% (34 of 46 open)63% (102 of 161 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%86% of 146 at avg 51¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)3% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)45% (won 79% of 66)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)45% (won 92% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)7% (won 90% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1robustmst
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.2K—Over $31—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $769—Yes $419—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $677—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $237—Hawks $408—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $449—Carole Monnet $2—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26—No $15—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $5.5K—Daniil Medvedev $36K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $31K—No $4.4K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—Yes $12K—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Olympiakós SFP $20K—Olympiakós SFP $109—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.4K—Under $7.5K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $390—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.2K—Under $4.7K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Over $7.9K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12K—Yes $101—
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $3.3K—Matej Dodig $9.0K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $8.1K—No $3.6K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.6K—Under $1.5K—
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
Weronika Falkowska $129—Weronika Falkowska $8.0K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.8K—Under $3.0K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.0K—Under $2.8K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $622—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $341—Tomas Curras Abasolo $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $776—76ers $240—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $695—Yes $231—
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
Yasmine Kabbaj $903—Yasmine Kabbaj $9—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
No $768—No $31—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $505—Over $158—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
Ignacio Parisca $298—Ignacio Parisca $296—
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $576—No $3—
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Midori Castillo Meza
same side · consensus Victoria Rodriguez
Victoria Rodriguez $92—Victoria Rodriguez $221—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $170—Under $119—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $40—Under $238—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Olympiakós SFP $170—Olympiakós SFP $104—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
Yes $217—Yes $9—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $33—Over $126—