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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmSmallcoins
Record (consensus markets)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)54% (1134–971, n=2105)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$116K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #49PM monthly #755
Sides with the consensus69% (183 of 264 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=1215, ROI +11%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%82% of 1223 at avg 69¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)15% (won 38% of 178)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)9% (won 54% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)13% (won 70% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)64% (won 98% of 778)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.