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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | Smallcoins | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 54% (1142–974, n=2116) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | $3.6M | $116K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #754 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (209 of 305 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 82% of 1223 at avg 69¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 15% (won 38% of 178) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 9% (won 54% of 113) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 13% (won 70% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 64% (won 98% of 778) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | Smallcoins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $17K | Under $6.4K | — | — |
| Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee same side · consensus Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee $1.2K | — | Middle Tennessee $4.9K | — |