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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)50% (1127–1147, n=2274)95% (13673–684, n=14357)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #51PM monthly #962
Sides with the consensus68% (184 of 271 open)63% (12 of 19 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmWagerWizard
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu $300—Kataller Toyama $108
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $108—Yes $19
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K—No $33
Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kyōto Sanga FC
Kyōto Sanga FC $38—Kyōto Sanga FC $85