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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)74% (17229–5971, n=23200)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$3.6M$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16PM monthly #46PM monthly #938
Sides with the consensus61% (14 of 23 open)76% (87 of 115 open)78% (14 of 18 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmWagerWizard
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.5K—Over $21K—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $19KKings $2.4K——
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $2.9K—Bears $2.9K—
Spread: Bears (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $4—Buccaneers $4.4K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Matsuyama: Kosuke Ogura vs Hikaru Shiraishi
opposite sides · consensus Hikaru Shiraishi
Kosuke Ogura $89Hikaru Shiraishi $174——
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $3—Buccaneers $96—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $48K—Buccaneers $18K—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $33K—Buccaneers $31K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $20K—Over $15K—
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $2.5K—Buccaneers $30K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Matsuyama: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka
same side · consensus Takuya Kumasaka
Takuya Kumasaka $1.5KTakuya Kumasaka $2.9K——
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.6KSam Ryan Ziegann $1.4K——