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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlyingPlatyBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)98% (944–16, n=960)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$251K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1030 at avg 98¢, ROI −1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 13% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 25% of 4)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 100% of 1018)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlyingPlatyBreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8KNo $184K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $136KYes $1.1K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $33KYes $77K—