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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (14 of 37 open) | 52% (56 of 108 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.8K | Cardinals $1.4K | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $59 | Over $2.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $8 | Cardinals $2.2K | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | Yes $934 | — | — |
| Spread: Titans (-2.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $3 | Titans $766 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | Under $213 | — | — |