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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 35% (17 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (79 of 109 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $734 | — | Browns $297K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | — | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.3K | — | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $71 | — | Raiders $24K | — |