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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Future-Tarot-Trader | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (276–102, n=378) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $326K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #607 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 56% (44 of 78 open) |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 410 at avg 74¢, ROI +12% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 18% of 45) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 86% of 14) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 96% of 54) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 72% (won 100% of 297) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Future-Tarot-Trader | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $616 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $890 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.8K | Over $244 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $640 | Over $1.3K |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $741 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $226 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $510 | Jaguars $180 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $47 | Southern Miss $498 |