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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FvalpRN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (72–40, n=112)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$169K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #220PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)62% (128 of 205 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won84% of 88 at avg 68¢, ROI +16%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 75% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 67% of 12)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 78% of 27)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 93% of 45)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFvalpRN1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $513No $1.2K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $835Yes $11K