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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Fvalp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 64% (73–41, n=114) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $169K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #240 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (27 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (45 of 81 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 90 at avg 69¢, ROI +16% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 75% of 4) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 13% (won 67% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 30% (won 78% of 27) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 52% (won 94% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Fvalp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $5.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $1.9K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.7K | — | Warriors $520 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $1.2K |