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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Fvalp | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (73–41, n=114) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $169K | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #245 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 91 at avg 69¢, ROI +16% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 75% of 4) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 67% of 12) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 78% of 27) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 94% of 48) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Fvalp | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $953 | Texas Tech $830 |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $138 | Texas Tech $317 |
| Wyoming vs. UNLV same side · consensus Wyoming | — | — | Wyoming $33K | Wyoming $20K |
| Texas State vs. Oregon State same side · consensus Texas State | — | — | Texas State $18K | Texas State $9.8K |