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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GC-Pndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)82% (5556–1211, n=6767)63% (987–572, n=1559)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$148K$3.2M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #544PM monthly #103PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (67 of 90 open)75% (101 of 135 open)no open consensus position52% (16 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 99% of 259)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 895)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 954)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 2163)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGC-Pndb1primmRN1
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $31Yes $11K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $643——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $1.5K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $22No $335K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Tereza Valentova $134——Tereza Valentova $760