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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPLsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (636–587, n=1223)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)no open consensus position72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won81% of 444 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 81)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPLsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $32—Browns $255K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $64—Yes $82K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $30—Bills $51K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $63—No $40K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $118