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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GingerMcKenna | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (1479–3537, n=5016) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $5.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #404 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (167 of 210 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (16 of 20 open) | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −3 pts, n=329 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 2% of 1618) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 28% of 100) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 75% of 106) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 98% of 919) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GingerMcKenna | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K |
| Spread: UMass (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $1.2K |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $528 |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.5K | UMass $1.0K |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $663 |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $480 | UMass $457 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K |
| Spread: Ball State (-1.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $3.1K | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $3.0K | UMass $804 |