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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gladius700gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (96–96, n=192)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$32K$3.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (15 of 18 open)no open consensus position74% (73 of 99 open)63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −14 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won71% of 200 at avg 64¢, ROI +10%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 7% of 15)0%10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 56% of 16)0%36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 81% of 88)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 75% of 81)0%20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGladius700gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161