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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GreedoRN1CORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)47% (197–223, n=420)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (395–248, n=643)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$35K$14.8M$194K-$6.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #225PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)56% (27 of 48 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +7 pts n=17, ROI −2%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCollege Football −9 pts, n=50——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won44% of 349 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 14% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 128)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 55% of 156)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 78% of 9)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGreedoRN1CORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $5.1K76ers $228——