← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gucky-45 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (745–1518, n=2263) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $166K | -$6.6M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #346 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (40 of 60 open) | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=52 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 2% of 1883) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 21) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 10) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gucky-45 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $425 | — | No $253K |
| Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | — | Yes $200 |
| Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | — | Yes $200 |
| Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | — | Yes $200 |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | — | Yes $200 |