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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gucky-45joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)33% (745–1518, n=2263)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (863–456, n=1319)
Consensus PnL$166K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #346PM monthly #2PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus85% (110 of 130 open)no open consensus position66% (48 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=52—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢98% (won 2% of 1883)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 29% of 21)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 70% of 10)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 75% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGucky-45joseph00677ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $416—Yes $2.7K