← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gucky-45 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (749–1577, n=2326) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) | 50% (1035–1039, n=2074) |
| Consensus PnL | $166K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #366 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #71 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (226 of 264 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (95 of 133 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=52 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 2% of 1883) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 21) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 10) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gucky-45 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $251 | — | No $835 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $69 | — | No $345 | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $588 | — | Yes $9.7K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $13 | — | Yes $3 | — |