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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HD45 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (14–2, n=16) | 61% (394–247, n=641) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.1K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #829 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 11 at avg 64¢, ROI −5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 67% of 3) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 0% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 6) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HD45 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | No $292K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.4K | — | No $117K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.0K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $379 | — | No $12K | — |