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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HOG993 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (503–703, n=1206) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | -$352K | $14.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=36 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 11% of 1040 at avg 9¢, ROI +1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 91% (won 7% of 942) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 41% of 59) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 60% of 25) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 14) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HOG993 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | RN1 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.4K | — | No $146 |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Under $129 | — |