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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HOG993 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (544–713, n=1257) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (57 of 71 open) | 88% (14 of 16 open) | 90% (149 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 11% of 1040 at avg 9¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 91% (won 7% of 942) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 41% of 59) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 60% of 25) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 14) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HOG993 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | — | Yes $15K |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $105 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | Yes $200 |