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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTrading00gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.5M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus49% (85 of 173 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)0%56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTrading00gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $185——Magic $76K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $207——Magic $24K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $11——Magic $13K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
DENDELE CS $5—Imperial $7.9K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2——Magic $51K