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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (16 of 37 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $145 | — | Magic $13K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $1.9K | — | Commanders $230K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $446 | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $5.1K | — | Commanders $43K | — |